TLDR
Bloomberg reported Wednesday that iHeartMedia is exploring a sale of part or all of its podcast business󠇟󠇠󠇡󠇢󠇍󠅵󠄪󠄢󠄤󠆅󠄩󠆁󠆙󠄅󠇔︈󠄾󠄙󠆇󠆄󠄝󠄥󠅖󠇋󠄑󠅁󠅅󠇯󠅴󠇀󠇝󠇏󠄣󠅴󠇕󠆇󠆮󠇍󠄓󠅈󠅏󠅕󠅭󠇞. iHeart told The Hollywood Reporter it has “no plan to sell󠇟󠇠󠇡󠇢󠆍󠆝󠆁󠄤︉󠆆󠅶󠆙󠅘󠄓󠄣󠄺󠇀󠆯󠇦󠇜󠅉󠅓󠇦󠇄󠅓󠅻󠇋󠇋󠆔󠆆󠅉󠇘󠅉︈󠆨󠅆󠇦󠆡󠅁󠄲󠆺󠇫󠅴󠄿.” Both can be true󠇟󠇠󠇡󠇢󠅞󠅃󠇕󠇂󠆘󠆸󠆑󠆔󠆃︉󠆳󠇡󠆷󠄃󠅴󠅸󠄱󠇃󠆮󠄢󠇫󠅂󠆶󠄛󠇥󠆞󠇛󠆺󠄜󠄒󠄎󠄜󠇖󠄦󠇟󠆹󠇯󠅪󠇕󠆅.
iHeart’s Q3 profit fell 17%, it cut full-year EBITDA guidance to $550M to $600M (from about $800M), and the stock lost 65% in five days󠇟󠇠󠇡󠇢󠇯︅󠇐󠆦󠄵󠅄󠄑󠇨󠇈󠆑󠆫󠆪󠆳󠇀󠆾󠅢󠄇󠆯󠅪󠄿󠄾󠆸󠅀󠄣󠆝󠆨󠇬󠇯󠄏󠆏󠄸󠇚󠇡󠅋󠄠󠆁󠆾󠄾󠄉󠅝. It carries $5B of debt, with about $3B due in 2029󠇟󠇠󠇡󠇢󠄞󠆴󠆩󠅶󠄰󠇤󠆄󠆋󠆑󠄬󠄱󠅨󠄎󠇎󠅉󠆮󠄿󠆕󠅃󠄬󠇞󠆒󠅲󠇅󠄮󠆉󠅃󠄜󠅴󠆻󠆰󠅕󠄻󠅯󠇠󠅆󠄅󠄨󠅪󠅴.
Podcasts are the one thing growing: revenue up 24% to $174M in Q3, and about $657M over the last 12 months󠇟󠇠󠇡󠇢󠅶󠆒󠄷󠆫󠆈󠇔󠆽󠄁󠇓󠄳󠆎󠅚󠅰󠅆󠅖󠅛󠆩󠄇󠄒󠆭󠅱󠅸󠇅󠆪󠅦󠄐󠇅󠅟󠄞󠆅󠆻󠅠󠅺󠆳󠅫󠅍󠄬󠆔󠇟󠅄. I estimate the podcast unit alone is worth roughly $1.5B to $2.5B, more than 10x what the market valued all of iHeart at this week󠇟󠇠󠇡󠇢󠄐󠅯󠄡󠅬󠄁󠆊󠅕󠇑󠄁󠄴󠄵󠇃󠅘󠆍󠅰󠆽󠅆︄󠅈󠅇󠄪󠆨󠅍󠄰󠆫󠇏󠇒󠄥󠆘󠅫󠅾󠆡󠄖󠄼󠅦󠆉󠄙󠄓󠄻󠄯.
SiriusXM is the best buyer󠇟󠇠󠇡󠇢󠄇󠅶︁󠇝󠅽󠇊󠆕󠅿︌󠅂󠄷󠆤󠄵󠇡󠅁󠆜󠄆󠆦󠆅󠆯󠅨󠆬󠅏󠆛󠄇󠄏󠆋󠅧󠇨󠅦󠇦󠅇󠆫󠄚󠇄󠆷󠆮󠆱󠅊󠄢. It already held merger talks with iHeart, it owns the ad tech (AdsWizz, Simplecast), it throws off $1.4B a year in free cash flow, and